The Daily Kos Elections guide to watching the special election for Arizona's...
The latest House special election on April 24, between Democrat Hiral Tipirneni and Republican Debbie Lesko, is in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, located in the western suburbs of Phoenix; polls...
View ArticleThe Most District: Which district has the most residents of 'two or more'...
One of the most overlooked demographic categories in America is multiracial people—or in the U.S. Census’ parlance, people claiming “two or more” races. They represent around 3 percent of the nation’s...
View ArticleThe Most District: Which district has the most Native Americans? Arizona's 1st
One thing you might not know about the U.S.’s Native American population is how widely distributed it is. Less than one-quarter of Native Americans (or, more specifically, members of the Census’s...
View ArticleTurning affluent suburbs blue is a necessary part of winning back a...
Over the weekend, the New York Times ran a baffling and potentially harmful opinion piece by two history professors, Lily Geismer and Michael Lessner, titled “Turning Affluent Suburbs Blue Isn't Worth...
View ArticleThe overlap between race and education tells you a lot about how a place will...
There has been a wide array of polls of House races released in the last few months with surprisingly strong leads for Democratic challengers, but maybe none so eye-popping as Monmouth’s poll from one...
View ArticleThe Daily Kos Elections county-by-county guide to watching the OH-12 special...
Polls close at 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday for the last big special election of the cycle for a House seat: The election in Ohio’s 12th district in Columbus's suburbs, left open after Republican Rep. Pat...
View ArticleWashington's top-two primary is highly predictive of November. For the GOP,...
Your attention on Tuesday night was probably focused on the special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District, or maybe statewide primaries in Kansas or Michigan. The primaries in Washington state...
View ArticleExplore presidential results by media market across 10 different elections
If you’re a regular Daily Kos Elections reader, you’re probably familiar with our media markets-to-congressional districts spreadsheet. It’s most helpful for when you see news of “$x million ad buy in...
View ArticleWhich congressional districts are growing (or shrinking) the fastest?
It may feel like the decade is already winding to a conclusion—after all, many of us are already starting to think about the 2020 presidential election—but another way to think about that is that we’re...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Senate Forecast: Democrats have a plausible pathway to a...
On Monday, Daily Kos Elections rolled out its new 2018 elections portal. It’s a place with one-stop shopping for elections geeks, with interactive maps showing our race ratings and with polling data...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Governors Forecast: Democrats poised to flip at least...
This week, in the wake of Daily Kos Elections launching its new 2018 elections portal, we’ve already discussed this week where we stand with the Senate (where the Democrats need absolutely everything...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Senate Forecast: Heidi Heitkamp's position takes a nosedive
In last week’s inaugural Daily Kos Elections Senate forecast post, the good news was that the Democrats, on that day, were positioned to win 51 seats in the Senate and therefore the narrowest majority...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Governors Forecast: November still promises a cornucopia...
Democratic prospects in the Senate seem to have gotten noticeably worse in the last week, with several of their “51st seat” options (North Dakota and Tennessee) falling further out of reach. But the...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Senate Forecast: Democrats still falling short of the...
One way to look at what needs to happen, for Democrats to gain a majority in the Senate, is that they absolutely need to win one of the seats that we at Daily Kos Elections (and most other...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Governors Forecast: Democrats could win in 9 of the 10...
The typical way to think about how to “keep score” in gubernatorial elections is kind of a dumb one: essentially, it’s one point for each state, so if your party ends up electing the governor in 26 or...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Senate Forecast: A bevy of new polls shores up Bill...
Florida was already the most heavily polled Senate race of the cycle even before this week (its main competition is Texas, which makes sense, since those are the two most-populous states with...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Governors Forecast: Four different races are currently tied
Here’s a minor paradox for you: the most exciting and encouraging poll of a governor’s race from the last week made the polling average in that race worse. In fact, it single-handedly affected the...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Senate Forecast: Montana looks safer even as Indiana doesn't
The good news from the last week of Senate polling is that Jon Tester, the incumbent Democratic senator from Montana, is looking in pretty good shape as we enter the closing weeks. Instinctively, going...
View ArticleDaily Kos Elections Governors Forecast: Democrats currently on track to pick...
It’s time for a little pep talk: I’ve been noticing some people a little down at the mouth over the Democrats’ poor prospects for taking control of the Senate next week. While, yes, that does suck,...
View ArticleOur 'county benchmarks' will help you follow along with—and make sense...
Suppose you’re settling in for a nice evening of watching election returns, and upon checking the very early results, you find that your preferred candidate is suddenly trailing by double digits,...
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